Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 13.089143 14.956886 16.959572 19.262309 21.832404 24.608051 27.827832
2024-10-20 9.797839 12.188995 14.940681 18.324933 22.357418 26.989951 32.694886
2024-10-27 7.440191 10.030646 13.215308 17.381495 22.646600 29.034517 37.320879
2024-11-03 6.327001 9.174497 12.888800 18.019499 24.842618 33.515139 45.267432
2024-11-10 5.766116 8.928118 13.276345 19.576502 28.332511 39.912621 56.193775
2024-11-17 5.090868 8.401479 13.191463 20.453482 30.971716 45.402885 66.388214
2024-11-24 4.305449 7.575047 12.551018 20.438063 32.327678 49.224364 74.593082
2024-12-01 3.550049 6.661136 11.640269 19.884670 32.804547 51.795430 81.187826
2024-12-08 3.029562 6.039028 11.086618 19.786781 33.909898 55.308855 89.337306
2024-12-15 2.667142 5.625308 10.806564 20.070848 35.596464 59.768348 99.142447
2024-12-22 2.293322 5.123638 10.303033 19.910060 36.525774 63.093768 107.397420
2024-12-29 2.137973 5.013664 10.472009 20.907773 39.428332 69.689793 121.115407
2025-01-05 1.874236 4.650602 10.147918 21.028963 40.913113 74.203847 131.986877
2025-01-12 1.560267 4.121330 9.432835 20.348751 40.933069 76.301662 139.080232
2025-01-19 1.284284 3.618389 8.693755 19.527627 40.608365 77.772656 145.206727
2025-01-26 1.193952 3.533205 8.804571 20.379991 43.432594 84.847411 161.211606
2025-02-02 1.188134 3.655877 9.375544 22.216792 48.255899 95.723496 184.337776
2025-02-09 1.120528 3.607182 9.560266 23.267863 51.638347 104.214207 203.738788
2025-02-16 0.991665 3.368388 9.279507 23.298645 53.010826 109.128248 217.065686
2025-02-23 0.843719 3.042033 8.743891 22.709466 53.077683 111.615934 226.146831
2025-03-02 0.742825 2.828757 8.449289 22.620155 54.148228 116.030510 238.938893
2025-03-09 0.674750 2.699819 8.346066 22.953075 56.114884 122.244686 255.327548
2025-03-16 0.592687 2.505638 8.044123 22.781461 56.981343 126.359699 267.967974